Upjohn Author ORCID Identifier
Series
Upjohn Institute Technical Report No. 26-056
DOI
10.17848/tr26-056
Issue Date
April 2026
Abstract
This report examines the economic and workforce dynamics of Michigan’s Upper Peninsula (U.P.) through 2030, highlighting the region’s ongoing transition during population decline, workforce aging, and structural labor shortages. Despite these pressures, the U.P.’s labor force remains relatively stable due to increased participation among older workers, partially offsetting declines in prime-age cohorts. The region’s economy is highly specialized, with strong concentrations in extraction, construction, and production industries—sectors that offer high wages but are vulnerable to cyclical economic downturns.
Using a combination of demographic analysis, occupational data, and industry projections, the study identifies significant skill overlap across key industries, suggesting potential pathways for worker mobility during economic disruptions. The report also evaluates the region’s training infrastructure, identifying nearly 300 programs that can support reskilling and workforce adaptation. Scenario analysis—including potential mine closures—demonstrates both risks and opportunities for regional adjustment on the scale of the entire Upper Peninsula.
The findings underscore that while structural challenges persist, the U.P. has the institutional capacity and workforce assets needed to navigate economic shocks. Strategic investments in workforce development, improved alignment between training and industry needs, and community-rooted economic strategies can enhance resilience if having necessary resources. By leveraging existing strengths and coordinating regional efforts, the U.P. can support long-term economic stability and workforce sustainability.
Sponsorship
Lundin Foundation
Subject Areas
LABOR MARKET ISSUES; Wages, health insurance and other benefits; ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT; Local labor markets; Regional policy and planning; Michigan studies; Regional collaboration; Transportation and infrastructure; WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT; Public training programs; On the job training
Citation
Lendel, Iryna V., Chloe Wieber, Sevrin Williams, Gerrit Anderson, and Lee Adams. 2026. "Workforce Dynamics in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula: Trends, Shocks, and Projections through 2030." Upjohn Institute Technical Report No. 26-056. Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. https://doi.org/10.17848/tr26-056